Research & comparison21 categories
Is this number plausible?
A statistic in a deck or an article that you cannot verify.
Shortstatisticsscepticism
Is this number plausible? Sanity-check the order of magnitude, and say you cannot tell rather than guessing a source.
Making it yours
- Paste your own material where the prompt asks for it. Everything above that line is instruction, not content.
- Delete any rule that does not apply to you. A shorter prompt that fits beats a thorough one that does not.
- If the answer comes back vague, add a line saying what you do not want. Constraints work better than encouragement.
Testing a claim. Statistics, causal stories, methodology, and tracing a repeated claim back to where it started.
Related prompts
Extract the claims and rate the evidenceBefore you cite something persuasive back to your team.Is this causation or just correlation?Any claim of the form "X leads to Y" that someone wants to act on.Find the methodology weaknessesA study, survey, or internal analysis whose conclusion you are about to rely on.Sanity-check a market sizeA TAM slide, a forecast, or any big number in a deck you have to defend.Is this statistic plausible?A number that would be remarkable if true, which is exactly why it is being quoted.Trace this claim back to its originA "studies show" claim that everyone repeats and nobody links.
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